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Awards

Topic Information Award/Contract Number Proposal Information Company Performance
Period
Award/Contract
Value
Abstract

H-SB09.1-004
Decision Analytic Approaches for CBRN Terrorism Risk Assessment

NBCHC090041 0911147
(FY09.1 Phase I)
Probabilistic Framework for CBRN Terrorism Risk Assessment and Decision Support

CogniTech Corporation
1060 East 100 South
Suite 306
Salt Lake City, UT 84102-1683

05/22/2009
to
12/07/2009
$98,955.00

The proposed research will develop a probabilistic decision analysis methodology and software framework applicable to Chemical, Biological, Radiological and Nuclear (CBRN) threats and incidents. The software prototype developed in the Phase I research will include tools to enable probabilistic assessments of risk, analysis of sensitivities, and risk management strategies that can compare the impact of multiple countermeasures on outcomes. These tools will use a knowledge base that will be developed in collaboration with CBRN and public health experts. The software prototype will be demonstrated using existing scenarios and threat-related data. By exploring all plausible combinations of inputs, the software prototype will show the potential of this methodology to assist decision-makers in their understanding of risk drivers, sensitivities, and optimal response strategies.